1. Go to https://chatgpt.com/create
2. Name: "Expected Value Goal Setting Assistant" (or similar)
3. Description: "Helps optimize daily work goals using expected value theory and prediction tracking"

Copy the entire content from CUSTOM_GPT_INSTRUCTIONS.md into the Instructions field.

1. Click "Create new action"
2. Import schema method: Import from URL
3. URL: https://dcm31--019899c30691716293d39932f5c6be80.web.val.run/api/openapi.yaml
4. Authentication: None (API key is passed in request body)

• Who can use this GPT: Only me (recommended) or your organization
• Conversation data: Do not use for training (recommended for privacy)

Ask the GPT: "Help me set today's work goal" and provide your Fatebook API key when prompted.

1. Go to https://fatebook.io/api-setup
2. Sign up/login to Fatebook
3. Copy your API key
4. Keep this private - it gives access to your predictions

When you first use the GPT:

1. Say: "Help me set today's work goal"
2. Provide your Fatebook API key when asked
3. Give probability assessments for different work amounts
4. GPT will calculate optimal goal and create Fatebook prediction

User: "Help me set today's work goal" GPT: Asks for confidence levels, calculates optimal goal, creates prediction

User: "Update my confidence to 85% for today's goal" GPT: Updates forecast in Fatebook

User: "I completed my goal" or "I didn't complete my goal" GPT: Marks prediction as resolved in Fatebook

User: "Show me my prediction accuracy" GPT: Displays calibration analysis and improvement suggestions

• "Invalid API key": Get new key from fatebook.io/api-setup
• "No goals found": You need to create some goals first using the GPT
• "API error": Check if the EVGS service is running

• /quick-goal - Main daily workflow
• /fatebook-goals/{id}/resolve - Mark goals complete/incomplete
• /fatebook-goals/{id}/forecast - Update confidence during day
• /calibration-analysis - See prediction accuracy by confidence level
• /analyze-performance - Overall stats and trends

• Your Fatebook API key is only used for API calls, never stored
• All predictions are private to your Fatebook account
• No conversation data is retained between sessions
• Goals and predictions remain under your control

After 1-2 weeks of daily use:

• More realistic goal setting
• Better understanding of your own confidence patterns
• Improved prediction accuracy
• Data-driven insights into your work capacity

The GPT learns your patterns and provides increasingly personalized advice over time.