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File type: interval.\n * Cron: 0,30 * * * * (every 30 min)\n * Grabs Pinnacle's price just before kickoff for every logged candidate,\n * selected or not. This is the measurement the whole project exists for.\n */\nimport {\n bookMarket,\n devigMultiplicative,\n devigShin,\n type Ev,\n fetchOdds,\n hoursUntil,\n postSheet,\n readSheet,\n round,\n SHARP,\n} from \"./lib.ts\";\n\nexport default async function (_interval: Interval) {\n const sheet = await readSheet();\n\n // rows still open, kicking off inside the next 45 minutes, not yet captured\n const due = sheet.open_bets.filter((b: any) => {\n if (!b.kickoff_utc || b.pinnacle_close) return false;\n const h = hoursUntil(String(b.kickoff_utc));\n return h > -0.25 && h < 0.75;\n });\n if (!due.length) return;\n\n const byLeague = new Map();\n for (const b of due) {\n const k = String(b.league);\n byLeague.set(k, [...(byLeague.get(k) ?? []), b]);\n }\n\n const updates: any[] = [];\n for (const [league, bets] of byLeague) {\n const need = [...new Set(bets.map((b) => String(b.market)))].join(\",\");\n let evs: Ev[];\n try {\n evs = (await fetchOdds(league, need)).events;\n } catch (e) {\n console.error(\"close fetch failed\", league, String(e));\n continue;\n }\n for (const b of bets) {\n const eventId = String(b.id).split(\":\")[0];\n const ev = evs.find((e) => e.id === eventId);\n if (!ev) continue;\n const fair = closingFair(\n ev,\n String(b.market),\n String(b.line),\n String(b.selection),\n );\n if (!fair) continue;\n const taken = Number(b.betclic_odds);\n updates.push({\n id: b.id,\n pinnacle_close: round(fair, 4),\n clv_pct: round((taken / fair - 1) * 100, 2),\n });\n }\n }\n\n if (updates.length) {\n await postSheet(\"settle\", { updates });\n console.log(`captured ${updates.length} closing prices`);\n }\n}\n\nfunction closingFair(\n ev: Ev,\n market: string,\n line: string,\n selection: string,\n): number | null {\n const m = bookMarket(ev, SHARP, market);\n if (!m) return null;\n\n if (market === \"totals\") {\n const pt = Number(line);\n const over = m.outcomes.find((o: any) =>\n o.name === \"Over\" && o.point === pt\n );\n const under = m.outcomes.find((o: any) =>\n o.name === \"Under\" && o.point === pt\n );\n if (!over || !under) return null;\n const d = devigMultiplicative([over.price, under.price]);\n return selection === \"Over\" ? d.fair[0] : d.fair[1];\n }\n\n if (market === \"h2h\") {\n if (m.outcomes.length !== 3) return null;\n const d = devigShin(m.outcomes.map((o: any) => o.price));\n const i = m.outcomes.findIndex((o: any) => o.name === selection);\n return i >= 0 ? d.fair[i] : null;\n }\n return null;\n}","interval","createdAt",["D",1788056179085],"branchVersion","branchId","7f2b72a5-99e2-4458-8fdc-5437e15e2bd1","id","fa28d932-b8ed-4d2c-a9c1-d126495e3821","tactic3",["D",1788053918612],"deletedAt","legacyEnvVars","privacy","public","httpPrivacy","description","","imageUrl","46b46481-1a7a-4baf-9b30-f04e5412be63","pinnedFileId","pinPreview","pinMigrated","screenshotVersion","likeCount",0,"orgId","01a05044-5188-72ca-95f1-3ce950290209","tursoName","fa28d932b8ed4d2ca9c1d126495e3821","tursoHostname","fa28d932b8ed4d2ca9c1d126495e3821-val-town.aws-us-east-2.turso.io","tursoMeasuredAt",["D",1789458074143],"pinned","userPerm","r","valPerm","blobPerm","rw","emailPerm","sqlitePerm","projectPerm","telemetryPerm","user",{"_98":97,"_106":102},"org",{"_98":97,"_99":100,"_101":102,"_18":55,"_103":104,"_105":25},"branch",{"_13":87,"_32":88,"_43":42,"_89":44,"_90":-5,"_91":-5,"_92":-5,"_93":-5,"_94":-5,"_95":45,"_96":97},"isOwned",21,"main","projectId","forkedBranchId","forkedBranchVersion","forkedProjectPrivacy","forkedProjectId","forkedProjectOrgId","projectName","userHandle","mikolaj1s","handle","displayName","Mikolaj","avatar","https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLzgCtQd72Pq51pH-GC_-hzMB9GlIradk5VahBk0RacetVp2SPj=s96-c","tier","free","canRestrictVals","profileImageUrl","branchName","adoptOrgId",{"_43":44,"_32":45,"_38":190,"_47":-5,"_48":25,"_49":50,"_51":50,"_52":53,"_54":-5,"_18":55,"_56":-5,"_57":25,"_58":-5,"_59":-5,"_60":61,"_62":63,"_64":65,"_66":67,"_68":191,"_70":-5,"_71":72,"_73":72,"_74":75,"_76":75,"_77":75,"_78":72,"_79":72,"_80":192,"_82":193,"_84":194,"_86":25},"tree",[173,174,175,176],"files",[173,174,175,176],"counts",{"_161":61,"_162":163,"_164":61,"_165":166,"_167":168},"contents",[128,129,130,131],"upstreamProject","upstreamBranch","emptyEnvVars","flags",[],"hasHttpFiles","grants","orgs","customDomains",{},{"_43":158,"_32":28,"_30":31,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":14,"_137":25,"_38":159,"_13":148,"_33":37,"_35":36,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_27":160},{"_43":151,"_32":152,"_30":153,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":154,"_137":25,"_38":155,"_13":139,"_33":34,"_35":156,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_27":157},{"_43":143,"_32":144,"_30":145,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":146,"_137":25,"_38":147,"_13":148,"_33":37,"_35":149,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_27":150},{"_43":132,"_32":133,"_30":134,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":136,"_137":25,"_38":138,"_13":139,"_33":34,"_35":140,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_27":142},"e603b2ca-7da1-4177-a6d3-f68bcbceea17","settle.ts","3b4e6f80-a417-11f1-8f42-1607ee4eb77e","parentId",12,"latest",["D",1788055581108],2,"/** TACTIC 3 — settlement. File type: interval.\n * Cron: 5 0 * * * (02:05 Warsaw in summer, 01:05 in winter)\n */\nimport { ENV, postSheet, readSheet, round, tg, warsawDate } from \"./lib.ts\";\n\nexport default async function (_interval: Interval) {\n const sheet = await readSheet();\n const cfg = sheet.config;\n\n // anything logged whose kickoff was more than 2.5h ago and is still unresolved\n const pending = sheet.open_bets.filter((b: any) => {\n if (!b.kickoff_utc) return false;\n const ageH = (Date.now() - new Date(String(b.kickoff_utc)).getTime()) /\n 3.6e6;\n return ageH > 2.5 && ageH < 96;\n });\n if (!pending.length) {\n console.log(\"nothing to settle\");\n return;\n }\n\n const leagues = [...new Set(pending.map((b: any) => String(b.league)))];\n const scores = new Map();\n\n for (const lg of leagues) {\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\n `https://api.the-odds-api.com/v4/sports/${lg}/scores/?daysFrom=3&apiKey=${ENV.oddsKey()}`,\n );\n if (!r.ok) continue;\n for (const e of await r.json()) {\n if (!e.completed || !e.scores) continue;\n const h = e.scores.find((s: any) => s.name === e.home_team);\n const a = e.scores.find((s: any) => s.name === e.away_team);\n if (!h || !a) continue;\n const hs = Number(h.score), as = Number(a.score);\n scores.set(e.id, {\n total: hs + as,\n winner: hs > as ? e.home_team : as > hs ? e.away_team : \"Draw\",\n });\n }\n } catch (e) {\n console.error(\"scores failed\", lg, String(e));\n }\n }\n\n const updates: any[] = [];\n const settledSel: any[] = [];\n let dayPnlU = 0;\n\n for (const b of pending) {\n const s = scores.get(String(b.id).split(\":\")[0]);\n if (!s) continue;\n\n const res = resolve(\n String(b.market),\n String(b.line),\n String(b.selection),\n s,\n );\n const isSelected = String(b.status) === \"SELECTED\";\n const units = Number(b.units) || 0;\n const odds = Number(b.betclic_odds);\n const pnlU = !isSelected\n ? 0\n : res === \"WON\"\n ? units * (odds - 1)\n : res === \"LOST\"\n ? -units\n : 0;\n const payout = !isSelected\n ? \"\"\n : res === \"WON\"\n ? round(\n units * odds * Number(cfg.notional_bank) * Number(cfg.unit_pct) / 100,\n 2,\n )\n : 0;\n\n if (isSelected) {\n dayPnlU += pnlU;\n settledSel.push({ b, res, pnlU });\n }\n\n updates.push({\n id: b.id,\n result: res,\n score: `${s.total} total${s.winner ? \" · \" + s.winner : \"\"}`,\n payout,\n pnl_units: isSelected ? round(pnlU, 3) : 0,\n });\n }\n\n if (!updates.length) {\n console.log(\"no results available yet\");\n return;\n }\n await postSheet(\"settle\", { updates });\n\n // rolling CLV + bank\n const withClv = [...sheet.open_bets, ...updates].filter((b: any) =>\n b.clv_pct !== \"\" && b.clv_pct != null\n );\n const clvAll = withClv.length\n ? round(\n withClv.reduce((a: number, b: any) => a + Number(b.clv_pct), 0) /\n withClv.length,\n 2,\n )\n : \"\";\n const bank = round(\n Number(sheet.state.bank) +\n dayPnlU * Number(cfg.notional_bank) * Number(cfg.unit_pct) / 100,\n 2,\n );\n\n await postSheet(\"set_state\", {\n values: {\n bank,\n clv_all: clvAll,\n bets_settled: Number(sheet.state.bets_settled || 0) + settledSel.length,\n last_settle: new Date().toISOString(),\n },\n });\n\n await tg(renderSettle(settledSel, updates.length, dayPnlU, bank, clvAll));\n}\n\nfunction resolve(\n market: string,\n line: string,\n selection: string,\n s: { total: number; winner: string | null },\n) {\n if (market === \"totals\") {\n const pt = Number(line);\n if (s.total === pt) return \"VOID\";\n const over = s.total > pt;\n return (selection === \"Over\") === over ? \"WON\" : \"LOST\";\n }\n if (market === \"h2h\") return selection === s.winner ? \"WON\" : \"LOST\";\n return \"VOID\";\n}\n\nfunction renderSettle(\n sel: any[],\n total: number,\n pnlU: number,\n bank: number,\n clv: any,\n) {\n const L: string[] = [];\n L.push(`📊 Settled · ${warsawDate(new Date(Date.now() - 6 * 3.6e6))}`);\n L.push(`${total} candidates resolved · ${sel.length} were selected`);\n L.push(\"\");\n if (!sel.length) L.push(\"No selected bets yesterday.\");\n for (const { b, res, pnlU: p } of sel) {\n const icon = res === \"WON\" ? \"✅\" : res === \"LOST\" ? \"❌\" : \"◽\";\n const clvTxt = b.clv_pct !== \"\" && b.clv_pct != null\n ? ` · CLV ${Number(b.clv_pct) > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${b.clv_pct}%`\n : \"\";\n L.push(`${icon} ${b.match} — ${b.selection} ${b.line}`);\n L.push(\n ` ${b.units}u @ ${b.betclic_odds} → ${p >= 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${\n round(p, 2)\n }u${clvTxt}`,\n );\n }\n L.push(\"\");\n L.push(\n `Day ${pnlU >= 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${\n round(pnlU, 2)\n }u · bank ${bank} notional`,\n );\n L.push(`Rolling CLV (all logged): ${clv === \"\" ? \"n/a\" : clv + \"%\"}`);\n L.push(\"\");\n L.push(\n \"CLV is the number that matters. Profit at this sample size is noise.\",\n );\n return L.join(\"\\n\");\n}","label",[133],"5037a96c-ef10-45f5-b92b-adbc1a00158e","scan.ts","28ea0a66-a417-11f1-bcc3-1607ee4eb77e",13,["D",1788056026992],3,"/** TACTIC 3 — scan. File type: interval.\n * Cron: 0 7,15 * * * (09:00 and 17:00 Warsaw in summer; 08:00/16:00 in winter)\n */\nimport {\n baseThreshold,\n bookMarket,\n countBooks,\n devigMultiplicative,\n devigShin,\n edgePct,\n type Ev,\n fetchOdds,\n hoursUntil,\n kellyUnits,\n postSheet,\n readSheet,\n round,\n SHARP,\n SOFT,\n tg,\n warsawDate,\n warsawTime,\n} from \"./lib.ts\";\n\nconst MAJORS = new Set([\n \"soccer_epl\",\n \"soccer_spain_la_liga\",\n \"soccer_italy_serie_a\",\n \"soccer_germany_bundesliga\",\n \"soccer_france_ligue_one\",\n]);\n\ninterface Cand {\n id: string;\n league: string;\n match: string;\n kickoff: string;\n hours: number;\n market: string;\n line: string;\n selection: string;\n soft: number;\n sharpRaw: number;\n fair: number;\n nBooks: number;\n overround: number;\n edge: number;\n grade: \"A\" | \"B\";\n units: number;\n veto: string;\n}\n\nexport default async function (_interval: Interval) {\n const sheet = await readSheet();\n const cfg = sheet.config;\n const scanLabel = new Date().getUTCHours() < 12 ? \"AM\" : \"PM\";\n const today = warsawDate();\n\n if (cfg.kill_switch === true || cfg.kill_switch === \"TRUE\") {\n await tg(`⏸ TACTIC 3 — kill switch is on. No scan.`);\n return;\n }\n\n const leagues = sheet.leagues.filter((l) =>\n l.enabled === true || l.enabled === \"TRUE\"\n );\n const markets = sheet.markets.filter((m) =>\n m.enabled === true || m.enabled === \"TRUE\"\n );\n const mkt = (k: string) => markets.find((m) => m.market_key === k);\n\n // For the free-tier test only the two featured markets are scanned.\n const wanted = [\"h2h\", \"totals\"].filter((k) => mkt(k));\n if (!wanted.length) {\n await tg(\"⚠ No enabled markets in the sheet.\");\n return;\n }\n\n const seen = new Set(sheet.open_bets.map((b: any) => String(b.id)));\n const cands: Cand[] = [];\n let fixtures = 0, priced = 0, remaining = \"?\";\n const errors: string[] = [];\n\n for (const lg of leagues) {\n let res;\n try {\n res = await fetchOdds(lg.sport_key, wanted.join(\",\"));\n } catch (e) {\n errors.push(`${lg.sport_key}: ${String(e).slice(0, 80)}`);\n continue;\n }\n if (res.remaining) remaining = res.remaining;\n\n for (const ev of res.events) {\n const hrs = hoursUntil(ev.commence_time);\n if (hrs < 2.5 || hrs > 30) continue;\n fixtures++;\n for (const key of wanted) {\n const out = evaluate(ev, key, lg, cfg, mkt(key), hrs);\n priced += out.priced;\n for (const c of out.cands) if (!seen.has(c.id)) cands.push(c);\n }\n }\n }\n\n cands.sort((a, b) => b.edge - a.edge);\n const passed = cands.filter((c) => c.grade === \"A\" && !c.veto);\n const bs = cands.filter((c) => c.grade === \"B\" && !c.veto);\n const bGrade =\n (cfg.b_grade_enabled === true || cfg.b_grade_enabled === \"TRUE\") &&\n !passed.length\n ? bs.slice(0, Number(cfg.b_max_per_day) || 1)\n : [];\n const selected = [\n ...passed.slice(0, Number(cfg.max_positions_per_day) || 2),\n ...bGrade,\n ];\n const selIds = new Set(selected.map((c) => c.id));\n\n const rows = cands.map((c) => ({\n id: c.id,\n date: today,\n scan: scanLabel,\n league: c.league,\n match: c.match,\n kickoff_utc: c.kickoff,\n market: c.market,\n line: c.line,\n selection: c.selection,\n betclic_odds: c.soft,\n pinnacle_raw: c.sharpRaw,\n fair_odds: round(c.fair, 4),\n consensus_fair: \"\",\n n_books: c.nBooks,\n edge_pct: round(c.edge, 2),\n grade: c.grade,\n status: selIds.has(c.id)\n ? \"SELECTED\"\n : (c.veto || (c.grade === \"B\" ? \"LOGGED_B\" : \"OVER_DAILY_CAP\")),\n veto_code: c.veto,\n units: selIds.has(c.id) ? round(c.units, 1) : \"\",\n stake_notional: selIds.has(c.id)\n ? round(\n c.units * Number(cfg.notional_bank) * Number(cfg.unit_pct) / 100,\n 2,\n )\n : \"\",\n result: \"PENDING\",\n notes: `overround ${round(c.overround * 100, 2)}%`,\n }));\n\n if (rows.length) await postSheet(\"log_bets\", { rows });\n await postSheet(\"set_state\", {\n values: { last_scan: new Date().toISOString() },\n });\n await tg(render({\n scanLabel,\n today,\n fixtures,\n priced,\n cands,\n selected,\n remaining,\n errors,\n cfg,\n leagues: leagues.length,\n }));\n}\n\n/* ---------------- evaluation ---------------- */\n\nfunction evaluate(ev: Ev, key: string, lg: any, cfg: any, m: any, hrs: number) {\n const cands: Cand[] = [];\n let priced = 0;\n const sharp = bookMarket(ev, SHARP, key);\n const soft = bookMarket(ev, SOFT, key);\n if (!sharp || !soft) return { cands, priced };\n\n const nBooks = countBooks(ev, key);\n const name = `${ev.home_team} vs ${ev.away_team}`;\n const thrAdj = Number(m?.thr_adj ?? 0);\n const minBooks = Number(m?.min_books ?? 8);\n const maxOver = Number(m?.max_overround ?? 0.035);\n const capU = Number(m?.cap_u ?? 2);\n\n const push = (\n line: string,\n sel: string,\n softO: number,\n sharpO: number,\n fair: number,\n overround: number,\n ) => {\n priced++;\n const edge = edgePct(softO, fair);\n let thr = baseThreshold(cfg, hrs) + thrAdj;\n if (MAJORS.has(lg.sport_key)) thr += Number(cfg.thr_major_penalty ?? 1);\n\n let veto = \"\";\n if (nBooks < minBooks) veto = \"THIN\";\n else if (overround > maxOver) veto = \"WIDE\";\n else if (softO < Number(cfg.min_odds) || softO > Number(cfg.max_odds)) {\n veto = \"ODDS_RANGE\";\n }\n\n const grade: \"A\" | \"B\" = edge >= thr ? \"A\" : \"B\";\n if (edge < Number(cfg.b_grade_min)) return; // not even worth logging\n\n let units = kellyUnits(\n softO,\n fair,\n Number(cfg.kelly_fraction),\n Number(cfg.unit_pct),\n );\n units = Math.min(units, grade === \"B\" ? Number(cfg.cap_b_u) : capU);\n\n cands.push({\n id: `${ev.id}:${key}:${line}:${sel}`.replace(/\\s+/g, \"_\"),\n league: lg.sport_key,\n match: name,\n kickoff: ev.commence_time,\n hours: round(hrs, 1),\n market: key,\n line,\n selection: sel,\n soft: softO,\n sharpRaw: sharpO,\n fair,\n nBooks,\n overround,\n edge,\n grade,\n units,\n veto,\n });\n };\n\n if (key === \"totals\") {\n // only compare where both books quote the same line\n const byPoint = new Map();\n for (const o of sharp.outcomes) {\n const e = byPoint.get(o.point) ?? {};\n e[o.name] = o.price;\n byPoint.set(o.point, e);\n }\n const softByPoint = new Map();\n for (const o of soft.outcomes) {\n const e = softByPoint.get(o.point) ?? {};\n e[o.name] = o.price;\n softByPoint.set(o.point, e);\n }\n for (const [point, sh] of byPoint) {\n const sf = softByPoint.get(point);\n if (!sf || !sh.Over || !sh.Under || !sf.Over || !sf.Under) continue;\n const d = devigMultiplicative([sh.Over, sh.Under]);\n push(String(point), \"Over\", sf.Over, sh.Over, d.fair[0], d.overround);\n push(String(point), \"Under\", sf.Under, sh.Under, d.fair[1], d.overround);\n }\n } else if (key === \"h2h\") {\n const names = sharp.outcomes.map((o: any) => o.name);\n const sharpO = sharp.outcomes.map((o: any) => o.price);\n if (sharpO.length !== 3) return { cands, priced };\n const d = devigShin(sharpO); // 3-way: Shin, never proportional\n names.forEach((nm: string, i: number) => {\n const so = soft.outcomes.find((o: any) => o.name === nm);\n if (so) push(\"\", nm, so.price, sharpO[i], d.fair[i], d.overround);\n });\n }\n return { cands, priced };\n}\n\n/* ---------------- telegram rendering ---------------- */\n\nfunction render(x: any) {\n const L: string[] = [];\n L.push(`📋 TACTIC 3 · PAPER · ${x.scanLabel} scan`);\n L.push(\n `${x.today} ${warsawTime()} · ${x.fixtures} fixtures / ${x.leagues} leagues · ${x.priced} selections priced`,\n );\n L.push(\n `${x.cands.length} candidates → ${x.selected.length} selected · credits left ${x.remaining}`,\n );\n L.push(\"\");\n\n if (!x.selected.length) {\n L.push(\"── NO BET ──\");\n const near = x.cands.filter((c: Cand) => !c.veto).slice(0, 3);\n if (near.length) {\n L.push(\"Closest misses:\");\n for (const c of near) {\n L.push(\n ` ${c.match} — ${c.selection}${\n c.line ? \" \" + c.line : \"\"\n } · ${c.soft} vs fair ${round(c.fair, 2)} · ${round(c.edge, 1)}%${\n c.veto ? \" [\" + c.veto + \"]\" : \"\"\n }`,\n );\n }\n } else L.push(\"Nothing cleared the logging floor today.\");\n } else {\n for (const c of x.selected) {\n const stake = round(\n c.units * Number(x.cfg.notional_bank) * Number(x.cfg.unit_pct) / 100,\n 0,\n );\n L.push(`[${c.grade} · ${c.market}] ${c.match}`);\n L.push(\n ` ${c.selection}${\n c.line ? \" \" + c.line : \"\"\n } · Betclic ${c.soft} · fair ${round(c.fair, 2)} · +${\n round(c.edge, 1)\n }%`,\n );\n L.push(\n ` ${c.nBooks} books · ${\n round(c.units, 1)\n }u (${stake} PLN notional) · KO in ${c.hours}h`,\n );\n }\n }\n\n const vetoed = x.cands.filter((c: Cand) => c.veto);\n if (vetoed.length) {\n L.push(\"\");\n L.push(`── flagged (${vetoed.length}) ──`);\n for (const c of vetoed.slice(0, 5)) {\n L.push(\n ` [${c.veto}] ${c.match} — ${c.selection}${\n c.line ? \" \" + c.line : \"\"\n }`,\n );\n }\n }\n if (x.errors.length) {\n L.push(\"\");\n L.push(\n `⚠ ${x.errors.length} league(s) errored: ${\n x.errors.slice(0, 3).join(\" · \")\n }`,\n );\n }\n L.push(\"\");\n L.push(\"Paper only. Nothing to place.\");\n return L.join(\"\\n\");\n}",[144],"94a566ef-f06d-4f6f-8f91-09876b8ba4da","lib.ts","861c6200-a413-11f1-90af-1607ee4eb77e",10,["D",1788055576011],"/** TACTIC 3 — shared helpers. Paste as lib.ts (file type: script) */\n\nexport const ENV = {\n oddsKey: () => Deno.env.get(\"ODDS_API_KEY\")!,\n sheetUrl: () => Deno.env.get(\"SHEET_URL\")!,\n sheetSecret: () => Deno.env.get(\"SHEET_SECRET\")!,\n tgToken: () => Deno.env.get(\"TELEGRAM_TOKEN\")!,\n tgChat: () => Deno.env.get(\"TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID\")!,\n};\n\nexport const SHARP = \"pinnacle\";\nexport const SOFT = \"betclic\";\n\n/* ---------- sheet ---------- */\n\nexport async function readSheet() {\n const r = await fetch(\n `${ENV.sheetUrl()}?secret=${encodeURIComponent(ENV.sheetSecret())}`,\n );\n const j = await r.json();\n if (!j.ok) throw new Error(\"sheet read failed: \" + JSON.stringify(j));\n return j as {\n config: Record;\n state: Record;\n markets: any[];\n leagues: any[];\n open_bets: any[];\n };\n}\n\nexport async function postSheet(\n action: string,\n payload: Record,\n) {\n const r = await fetch(ENV.sheetUrl(), {\n method: \"POST\",\n headers: { \"Content-Type\": \"text/plain;charset=utf-8\" },\n body: JSON.stringify({ secret: ENV.sheetSecret(), action, ...payload }),\n });\n const j = await r.json();\n if (j.error) throw new Error(\"sheet write failed: \" + j.error);\n return j;\n}\n\n/* ---------- telegram ---------- */\n\nexport async function tg(text: string) {\n const r = await fetch(\n `https://api.telegram.org/bot${ENV.tgToken()}/sendMessage`,\n {\n method: \"POST\",\n headers: { \"Content-Type\": \"application/json\" },\n body: JSON.stringify({\n chat_id: ENV.tgChat(),\n text,\n parse_mode: \"HTML\",\n disable_web_page_preview: true,\n }),\n },\n );\n const j = await r.json();\n if (!j.ok) console.error(\"telegram failed\", j);\n return j;\n}\n\n/* ---------- de-vig ---------- */\n\n/** 2-way / proportional. Returns fair decimal odds in the same order. */\nexport function devigMultiplicative(odds: number[]) {\n const q = odds.map((o) => 1 / o);\n const s = q.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);\n return { fair: q.map((x) => s / x), overround: s - 1 };\n}\n\n/** Shin's method for 3-way. Corrects the favourite-longshot bias that\n * proportional de-vigging introduces — on lopsided books the difference\n * in the longshot's fair price exceeds 10%. */\nexport function devigShin(odds: number[]) {\n const q = odds.map((o) => 1 / o);\n const PI = q.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);\n const p = (z: number) =>\n q.map((qi) =>\n (Math.sqrt(z * z + 4 * (1 - z) * qi * qi / PI) - z) / (2 * (1 - z))\n );\n const sum = (z: number) => p(z).reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);\n let lo = 1e-9, hi = 0.45;\n for (let i = 0; i < 120; i++) {\n const m = (lo + hi) / 2;\n if (sum(m) > 1) lo = m;\n else hi = m;\n }\n const z = (lo + hi) / 2;\n const pr = p(z);\n const tot = pr.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);\n return { fair: pr.map((x) => tot / x), overround: PI - 1, z };\n}\n\n/* ---------- odds api ---------- */\n\nexport interface Ev {\n id: string;\n sport_key: string;\n commence_time: string;\n home_team: string;\n away_team: string;\n bookmakers: any[];\n}\n\nexport async function fetchOdds(sportKey: string, markets: string) {\n const u = `https://api.the-odds-api.com/v4/sports/${sportKey}/odds/` +\n `?apiKey=${ENV.oddsKey()}®ions=eu&markets=${markets}` +\n `&oddsFormat=decimal&dateFormat=iso`;\n const r = await fetch(u);\n const remaining = r.headers.get(\"x-requests-remaining\");\n if (r.status === 422) return { events: [] as Ev[], remaining }; // market not offered\n if (!r.ok) {\n throw new Error(`odds api ${sportKey} -> ${r.status} ${await r.text()}`);\n }\n return { events: (await r.json()) as Ev[], remaining };\n}\n\nexport function bookMarket(ev: Ev, bookKey: string, marketKey: string) {\n const b = ev.bookmakers?.find((x) => x.key === bookKey);\n return b?.markets?.find((m: any) => m.key === marketKey) ?? null;\n}\n\nexport function countBooks(ev: Ev, marketKey: string) {\n return (ev.bookmakers ?? []).filter((b) =>\n b.markets?.some((m: any) => m.key === marketKey)\n ).length;\n}\n\n/* ---------- staking ---------- */\n\nexport function edgePct(soft: number, fair: number) {\n return (soft / fair - 1) * 100;\n}\n\nexport function kellyUnits(\n soft: number,\n fair: number,\n frac: number,\n unitPct: number,\n) {\n const p = 1 / fair;\n const k = (soft * p - 1) / (soft - 1);\n return (k * frac * 100) / unitPct;\n}\n\nexport function baseThreshold(cfg: Record, hoursToKo: number) {\n if (hoursToKo >= 24) return Number(cfg.thr_24_30h);\n if (hoursToKo >= 8) return Number(cfg.thr_8_24h);\n return Number(cfg.thr_2_8h);\n}\n\n/* ---------- misc ---------- */\n\nexport const round = (n: number, d = 2) => Math.round(n * 10 ** d) / 10 ** d;\nexport const hoursUntil = (iso: string) =>\n (new Date(iso).getTime() - Date.now()) / 3.6e6;\nexport const warsawDate = (d = new Date()) =>\n new Intl.DateTimeFormat(\"sv-SE\", { timeZone: \"Europe/Warsaw\" }).format(d);\nexport const warsawTime = (d = new Date()) =>\n new Intl.DateTimeFormat(\"en-GB\", {\n timeZone: \"Europe/Warsaw\",\n hour: \"2-digit\",\n minute: \"2-digit\",\n }).format(d);",[152],"2423419f-595a-4815-a8be-1e18889fd5a5",["D",1788056179085],[28],"pulls","branches",1,"forks","envVars",{"_169":171,"_172":61},"connections",{"_169":61,"_170":61},"count","unfilledCount",5,"emptyCount",{"_43":158,"_32":28,"_30":31,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":14,"_137":25,"_38":187,"_13":148,"_33":37,"_35":36,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_178":188,"_27":189},{"_43":151,"_32":152,"_30":153,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":154,"_137":25,"_38":184,"_13":139,"_33":34,"_35":156,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_178":185,"_27":186},{"_43":143,"_32":144,"_30":145,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":146,"_137":25,"_38":181,"_13":148,"_33":37,"_35":149,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_178":182,"_27":183},{"_43":132,"_32":133,"_30":134,"_135":-5,"_41":42,"_40":136,"_137":25,"_38":177,"_13":139,"_33":34,"_35":140,"_24":25,"_141":-5,"_178":179,"_27":180},["D",1788055581108],"children",[],[133],["D",1788056026992],[],[144],["D",1788055576011],[],[152],["D",1788056179085],[],[28],["D",1788053918612],["D",1789458074143],{"_98":97,"_106":102},{"_98":97,"_99":100,"_101":102,"_18":55,"_103":104,"_105":25},{"_13":87,"_32":88,"_43":42,"_89":44,"_90":-5,"_91":-5,"_92":-5,"_93":-5,"_94":-5,"_95":45,"_96":97},"ctx",{"_80":-5,"_125":228,"_229":230,"_231":232,"_233":25,"_234":25,"_235":25,"_236":237,"_238":-5,"_239":-7,"_240":-7,"_241":61,"_242":25,"_243":25,"_244":-5,"_245":25,"_246":25,"_247":25,"_248":-5},"ENV",{"_199":200,"_201":202,"_203":88,"_204":205,"_206":207,"_208":209,"_210":211,"_212":213,"_214":215,"_216":217,"_218":219,"_220":221,"_222":223,"_224":225,"_226":227},"REACT_APP_SENTRY_DSN","https://586020d86f05489db63a554690acf1e9@o1398359.ingest.sentry.io/6724499","RENDER_GIT_COMMIT","e87eb04e707cf64e7e532c8e8ec395f209e17f15","RENDER_GIT_BRANCH","POSTHOG_API_TOKEN","phc_nmoyuAkStEZuUp69rYlg1DZgrIt19Gx0Y4Hwf8tGgJP","POSTHOG_API_HOST","https://wart.val.town","WEB_API_TEMPLATE","https://{val}.web.val.run","APP_URL","https://www.val.town","MODULE_URL","https://esm.town","VANITY_WEB_API_TEMPLATE","https://{label}.val.run/","DENOLS_URL","https://lsp.val.town","NODE_ENV","production","CLOUDFLARE_TURNSTILE_SITE_KEY","0x4AAAAAACtaIZJH7s9rBMZ6","GOOGLE_CLIENT_ID","875989696899-jtsqkhlbdv5jrlsk8631p7ipjg3c6o62.apps.googleusercontent.com","STRIPE_PUBLISHABLE_KEY","pk_live_51N2zvWEpZTTLipIkVEwXrUG9AT0yeOOEYxszarZT1jpsZV58Ly6wlg3SltZpHN26CUalOBmUSY7adQRQiSkCZz2500qSXNkf8Y","API_URL","https://api.val.town",[],"preferencesKeybindings","default","preferencesTheme","light","preferencesFixers","preferencesCopilot","preferencesSelectionAi","preferencesCloseBrackets",true,"preferencesChatPanelState","preferencesDprint","preferencesDenofmt","notificationCount","flagDenols","isBusinessOrgMember","businessOrgHandle","isBusinessOrgAdmin","isHigherTownieTier","navCollapsed","currentOrgId"]

Diff · v14