[{"_1":2,"_3":-5,"_4":-5},"loaderData",{"_5":6,"_7":8,"_9":10},"actionData","errors","root",{"_155":156,"_157":158},"routes/_app.x.$handle.$name",{"_96":95,"_32":45,"_105":86,"_27":106,"_13":14,"_107":-5,"_11":108,"_109":110,"_111":112,"_113":114,"_115":116,"_20":-5,"_117":-5,"_118":-5,"_119":25,"_120":121,"_122":58,"_123":-5,"_124":-5,"_125":126},"routes/_app.x.$handle.$name.branch.$branch.version.$version.diff",{"_11":12,"_13":14,"_15":16,"_17":-5,"_18":-5},"project",{"_43":44,"_32":45,"_38":46,"_47":-5,"_48":25,"_49":50,"_51":50,"_52":53,"_54":-5,"_18":55,"_56":31,"_57":58,"_59":-5,"_60":-5,"_61":62,"_63":64,"_65":-5,"_66":-5,"_67":-5,"_68":-5,"_69":70,"_71":70,"_72":73,"_74":73,"_75":73,"_76":70,"_77":70,"_78":79,"_80":81,"_82":83,"_84":25},"version",18,"changes",[19],"aiChatInfo","userId",{"_20":21,"_22":23,"_24":25,"_26":25,"_27":28,"_29":28},"file",{"_30":31,"_32":28,"_33":34,"_35":37,"_38":39,"_40":14,"_41":42,"_24":25},"previous",{"_30":31,"_32":28,"_33":34,"_35":36},"deleted",false,"deletedHere","path","main.ts","latestPath","fileId","5d772954-8459-11f1-927e-1607ee4eb77e","name","fileType","http","content","// Val Town HTTP val. Create a new val, type = HTTP.\n// Paste this whole file as its content, then open the val's URL.\n// Reads the state written by valtown-cron.ts — deploy that one first,\n// let it run a few minutes, then this will have data to show.\n\nimport { blob } from \"https://esm.town/v/std/blob\";\n\nfunction fmtUsd(n) {\n return n == null || isNaN(n)\n ? \"—\"\n : n.toLocaleString(\"en-US\", {\n style: \"currency\",\n currency: \"USD\",\n maximumFractionDigits: 2,\n });\n}\nfunction fmtPct(n) {\n return n == null || isNaN(n) ? \"—\" : (n * 100).toFixed(1) + \"%\";\n}\nfunction cents(n) {\n return n == null || isNaN(n) ? \"—\" : (n * 100).toFixed(1) + \"¢\";\n}\nfunction brier(arr, key) {\n return arr.length\n ? arr.reduce((a, r) => a + (r[key] - r.result) ** 2, 0) / arr.length\n : null;\n}\n\nexport default async function (req) {\n const reqUrl = new URL(req.url);\n\n if (reqUrl.searchParams.get(\"live\") === \"1\") {\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\"https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot\");\n if (!r.ok) throw new Error(\"coinbase http \" + r.status);\n const j = await r.json();\n const p = parseFloat(j.data.amount);\n if (!p || !isFinite(p)) throw new Error(\"bad price shape\");\n return Response.json({ ok: true, price: p }, {\n headers: { \"cache-control\": \"no-store\" },\n });\n } catch (e) {\n return Response.json(\n { ok: false, error: String(e && e.message) },\n { status: 502, headers: { \"cache-control\": \"no-store\" } },\n );\n }\n }\n\n const latest = (await blob.getJSON(\"btc_kalshi_latest\")) || null;\n const ticks = (await blob.getJSON(\"btc_kalshi_ticks\")) || [];\n const log = (await blob.getJSON(\"btc_kalshi_log\")) || [];\n\n const now = Date.now();\n const stale = latest ? now - latest.now > 5 * 60 * 1000 : true;\n\n const n = log.length;\n const modelHits = log.filter((r) => r.modelCorrect).length;\n const withMkt = log.filter((r) => r.marketCorrect != null);\n const mktHits = withMkt.filter((r) => r.marketCorrect).length;\n const modelBrier = brier(log, \"modelUp\");\n const mktBrier = brier(withMkt, \"marketUp\");\n\n function signalSide(r) {\n const u = r.lockUpEV, d = r.lockDownEV;\n if (u != null && u > 0 && (d == null || d <= 0 || u >= d)) return \"up\";\n if (d != null && d > 0) return \"down\";\n return null;\n }\n const withSignal = log.filter((r) => signalSide(r) != null);\n const signalHits = withSignal.filter(\n (r) =>\n (signalSide(r) === \"up\" && r.result === 1) ||\n (signalSide(r) === \"down\" && r.result === 0),\n ).length;\n const noSignal = log.filter((r) => signalSide(r) == null);\n const noSignalHits = noSignal.filter((r) => r.modelCorrect).length;\n\n const timeLeft = latest ? Math.max(0, (latest.closeMs - now) / 1000) : null;\n const mm = timeLeft != null ? Math.floor(timeLeft / 60) : null;\n const ss = timeLeft != null ? Math.floor(timeLeft % 60) : null;\n\n const pts = ticks.slice(-200);\n let svgChart = \"\";\n if (pts.length > 1) {\n const ps = pts.map((p) => p.p);\n let lo = Math.min(...ps), hi = Math.max(...ps);\n if (latest) {\n lo = Math.min(lo, latest.strike);\n hi = Math.max(hi, latest.strike);\n }\n const pad = (hi - lo) * 0.15 || 50;\n lo -= pad;\n hi += pad;\n const W = 600, H = 160;\n const span = hi - lo || 1;\n const X = (i) => (i / (pts.length - 1)) * W;\n const Y = (v) => H - ((v - lo) / span) * H;\n const d = pts.map((p, i) =>\n (i ? \"L\" : \"M\") + X(i).toFixed(1) + \" \" + Y(p.p).toFixed(1)\n ).join(\" \");\n const strikeLine = latest\n ? ``\n : \"\";\n svgChart =\n ``;\n } else {\n svgChart =\n `

collecting ticks…

`;\n }\n\n const stripHtml = log\n .slice(-40)\n .map(\n (r) =>\n `

`,\n )\n .join(\"\");\n\n function fmtLatency(ms) {\n if (ms == null) return \"\";\n const s = Math.round(ms / 1000);\n return s < 60 ? `+${s}s` : `+${Math.floor(s / 60)}m${s % 60}s`;\n }\n\n const recentLocksHtml = log\n .slice(-12)\n .reverse()\n .map((r) => {\n const displayMs = r.lockedAt != null ? r.lockedAt : r.closeMs;\n const t = new Date(displayMs);\n const timeStr =\n t.toLocaleTimeString(\"en-US\", {\n hour: \"numeric\",\n minute: \"2-digit\",\n timeZone: \"UTC\",\n }) + \" UTC\";\n const called = r.modelUp >= 0.5 ? \"UP\" : \"DOWN\";\n const calledPct = r.modelUp >= 0.5 ? r.modelUp : 1 - r.modelUp;\n const latency = fmtLatency(r.lockLatencyMs);\n return `

${timeStr}

locked $${\n r.strike.toLocaleString(\"en-US\", { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })\n }${\n latency ? ` ${latency}` : \"\"\n }

${called} ${(calledPct * 100).toFixed(0)}%

${r.modelCorrect ? \"✅\" : \"❌\"}

`;\n })\n .join(\"\");\n\n const currentLockHtml = latest && latest.lockedModelUp != null\n ? (() => {\n const called = latest.lockedModelUp >= 0.5 ? \"UP\" : \"DOWN\";\n const calledPct = latest.lockedModelUp >= 0.5\n ? latest.lockedModelUp\n : 1 - latest.lockedModelUp;\n const windowOpenMs = latest.closeMs - 15 * 60 * 1000;\n const latency = latest.lockedAt != null\n ? fmtLatency(latest.lockedAt - windowOpenMs)\n : \"\";\n const lockMs = latest.lockedAt != null ? latest.lockedAt : latest.closeMs;\n const timeStr =\n new Date(lockMs).toLocaleTimeString(\"en-US\", {\n hour: \"numeric\",\n minute: \"2-digit\",\n timeZone: \"UTC\",\n }) + \" UTC\";\n return `

${timeStr}

NOW locked $${\n latest.strike.toLocaleString(\"en-US\", { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })\n }${\n latency ? ` ${latency}` : \"\"\n }

${called} ${(calledPct * 100).toFixed(0)}%

⏳

`;\n })()\n : \"\";\n\n const dist = latest ? latest.price - latest.strike : null;\n const windowExpired = latest ? now >= latest.closeMs : false;\n const verdict = latest && latest.modelUp != null\n ? (latest.modelUp >= 0.5 ? \"UP\" : \"DOWN\")\n : null;\n const verdictP = latest && latest.modelUp != null\n ? (latest.modelUp >= 0.5 ? latest.modelUp : 1 - latest.modelUp)\n : null;\n\n const EARNED_SIGNAL_MIN_N = 30;\n const earnedSignal = latest && latest.momActive &&\n withSignal.length >= EARNED_SIGNAL_MIN_N &&\n signalHits / withSignal.length -\n (noSignal.length ? noSignalHits / noSignal.length : 0.5) > 0.08;\n\n const isPartial = reqUrl.searchParams.get(\"partial\") === \"1\";\n\n const inner = `\n

BTC · Kalshi 15-min

${\n stale\n ? \"grader stale — check the cron val is running\"\n : \"grading in background\"\n }

\n\n ${\n earnedSignal\n ? `

Earned signal — active✓

Both the momentum term and the EV-effectiveness split have now shown a real, tested edge on history. Check the \"Does the EV signal mean anything?\" and \"Self-tuning\" cards below for the actual numbers before acting on this.

`\n : \"\"\n }\n\n

${fmtUsd(latest ? latest.price : null)}

${latest ? \"price as of just now\" : \"\"}

= 0 ? \"var(--up)\" : \"var(--down)\")\n : \"transparent\"\n }\">${\n windowExpired\n ? \"⏳ waiting for next lock…\"\n : dist != null\n ? `${dist >= 0 ? \"▲\" : \"▼\"} ${fmtUsd(Math.abs(dist))} ${\n dist >= 0 ? \"above\" : \"below\"\n } strike ${fmtUsd(latest.strike)}`\n : \"\"\n }

${svgChart}

\n\n

Window closes in\n ${mm != null ? mm + \":\" + String(ss).padStart(2, \"0\") : \"—\"}

\n ${\n latest && latest.kalshiOk\n ? \"Kalshi: \" + latest.kalshiTicker\n : \"Kalshi quote unavailable this tick — strike still tracked via price feed (\" +\n (latest ? latest.strikeSource : \"—\") +\n \").\"\n }\n

\n\n

\n Model guess · driftless lognormal barrier\n

\n ⏳ Waiting for next lock — the window just closed, grading and re-locking now.\n

\n ${\n verdict\n ? `

\n ${verdict === \"UP\" ? \"▲\" : \"▼\"}\n

LEAN ${verdict}

${\n fmtPct(verdictP)\n } to finish ${verdict.toLowerCase()} — updates live

Model P(Up)

${\n fmtPct(latest.modelUp)\n }

Market P(Up)

${\n latest.marketUp != null ? fmtPct(latest.marketUp) : \"—\"\n }

0 ? \" up\" : \"\"\n }\">\n

Buy Up EV

${\n latest.upEV != null ? cents(latest.upEV) : \"—\"\n }

0 ? \" up\" : \"\"\n }\">\n

Buy Down EV

${\n latest.downEV != null ? cents(latest.downEV) : \"—\"\n }

\n ${\n latest.upEV == null && latest.downEV == null\n ? 'EV needs a live tradable ask price from Kalshi — unavailable this tick (check the cron\\'s logs for \"bid/ask missing\" if this persists).'\n : \"EV = model probability minus what you'd actually pay. Positive means the model disagrees with the market's price, not that it's right — see the scoreboard below before trusting it.\"\n }\n

Locked call being graded this window: model ${\n fmtPct(\n latest.lockedModelUp,\n )\n }${\n latest.lockedMarketUp != null\n ? `, market ${fmtPct(latest.lockedMarketUp)}`\n : \"\"\n } — fixed at first sight of this window so scoring stays fair, even though the numbers above keep moving.

`\n : `

Waiting on the first cron tick.

`\n }\n

\n\n

Track record🏆

\n ${\n n === 0\n ? `

No graded windows yet — this fills in automatically as the cron runs, whether or not you're looking at this page.

`\n : `

Model accuracy

${\n fmtPct(\n modelHits / n,\n )\n } (${modelHits}/${n})

Market accuracy

${\n withMkt.length ? fmtPct(mktHits / withMkt.length) : \"—\"\n } (${mktHits}/${withMkt.length})

Model Brier

${\n modelBrier != null ? modelBrier.toFixed(3) : \"—\"\n }

Market Brier

${\n mktBrier != null ? mktBrier.toFixed(3) : \"—\"\n }

${stripHtml}

Lower Brier wins; 0.25 is a coin flip. If the model's Brier isn't clearly under the market's after a few dozen windows, there's no edge here — the expected outcome, not a failure.

`\n }\n

\n\n

Where it locked each round

\n ${\n !currentLockHtml && log.length === 0\n ? `

Nothing locked yet.

`\n : `

${currentLockHtml}${recentLocksHtml}

`\n }\n

\n\n

Does the EV signal mean anything?

\n ${\n withSignal.length === 0\n ? `

No graded windows yet had a positive-EV side at lock time — nothing to test.

`\n : `

When EV said \"buy\" (n=${withSignal.length})

${\n fmtPct(signalHits / withSignal.length)\n } (${signalHits}/${withSignal.length})

When it didn't (n=${noSignal.length})

${\n noSignal.length ? fmtPct(noSignalHits / noSignal.length) : \"—\"\n } (${noSignalHits}/${noSignal.length})

This is the honest answer to \"where are good spots to buy\": if the left number isn't clearly higher than the right one — and with counts this small, it almost certainly isn't yet — the EV signal hasn't demonstrated it's worth following. Needs dozens more graded windows in each bucket before this is trustworthy either way.

`\n }\n

\n\n

Self-tuning

Confidence calibration

\n ${\n latest && latest.calibActive\n ? `${latest.calibK.toFixed(2)}× active`\n : `${latest ? latest.calibN : 0}/150`\n }\n

Momentum weight

\n ${\n latest && latest.momActive\n ? `${latest.momW.toFixed(2)} active`\n : `${latest ? latest.momN : 0}/400`\n }\n

Two separate, gated corrections. Calibration only rescales confidence toward or away from 50% — it can't invent a new edge. Momentum tests whether recent trend predicts the next 15 minutes at all. Both stay off until they've proven a real accuracy gain on history, not just a lucky-looking one.

\n\n

No-bet is the default. This dashboard exists to show whether the model ever beats the market's own price — it almost never should, after spread and fees. Don't size positions on a win streak; a hot run in the log above is noise, not a signal to press.

\n\n

Kalshi's windows open exactly on the quarter-hour and settle on a 60-second average of their own reference price — not an instant snapshot. This tracker grades against a single spot reading close to that window, which will usually match but can occasionally differ by a little near a fast-moving close. Each prediction locks the moment this tracker notices the window (see the +Ns tags above for exactly how long that took) and is graded against a real outcome, not a simulated one.

\n`;\n\n if (isPartial) {\n return new Response(inner, {\n headers: {\n \"content-type\": \"text/html; charset=utf-8\",\n \"cache-control\": \"no-store\",\n \"access-control-allow-origin\": \"*\",\n },\n });\n }\n\n const html = `\n\nBTC · Kalshi 15-min\n\n

${inner}

connecting…

\n\n`;\n\n return new Response(html, {\n headers: {\n \"content-type\": \"text/html; charset=utf-8\",\n \"cache-control\": \"no-store\",\n \"access-control-allow-origin\": \"*\",\n },\n });\n}","// Val Town HTTP val. Create a new val, type = HTTP.\n// Paste this whole file as its content, then open the val's URL.\n// Reads the state written by valtown-cron.ts — deploy that one first,\n// let it run a few minutes, then this will have data to show.\n\nimport { blob } from \"https://esm.town/v/std/blob\";\n\nfunction fmtUsd(n) {\n return n == null || isNaN(n)\n ? \"—\"\n : n.toLocaleString(\"en-US\", {\n style: \"currency\",\n currency: \"USD\",\n maximumFractionDigits: 2,\n });\n}\nfunction fmtPct(n) {\n return n == null || isNaN(n) ? \"—\" : (n * 100).toFixed(1) + \"%\";\n}\nfunction cents(n) {\n return n == null || isNaN(n) ? \"—\" : (n * 100).toFixed(1) + \"¢\";\n}\nfunction brier(arr, key) {\n return arr.length\n ? arr.reduce((a, r) => a + (r[key] - r.result) ** 2, 0) / arr.length\n : null;\n}\n\nexport default async function (req) {\n const reqUrl = new URL(req.url);\n\n if (reqUrl.searchParams.get(\"live\") === \"1\") {\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\"https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot\");\n if (!r.ok) throw new Error(\"coinbase http \" + r.status);\n const j = await r.json();\n const p = parseFloat(j.data.amount);\n if (!p || !isFinite(p)) throw new Error(\"bad price shape\");\n return Response.json({ ok: true, price: p }, {\n headers: { \"cache-control\": \"no-store\" },\n });\n } catch (e) {\n return Response.json(\n { ok: false, error: String(e && e.message) },\n { status: 502, headers: { \"cache-control\": \"no-store\" } },\n );\n }\n }\n\n const latest = (await blob.getJSON(\"btc_kalshi_latest\")) || null;\n const ticks = (await blob.getJSON(\"btc_kalshi_ticks\")) || [];\n const log = (await blob.getJSON(\"btc_kalshi_log\")) || [];\n\n const now = Date.now();\n const stale = latest ? now - latest.now > 5 * 60 * 1000 : true;\n\n const n = log.length;\n const modelHits = log.filter((r) => r.modelCorrect).length;\n const withMkt = log.filter((r) => r.marketCorrect != null);\n const mktHits = withMkt.filter((r) => r.marketCorrect).length;\n const modelBrier = brier(log, \"modelUp\");\n const mktBrier = brier(withMkt, \"marketUp\");\n\n function signalSide(r) {\n const u = r.lockUpEV, d = r.lockDownEV;\n if (u != null && u > 0 && (d == null || d <= 0 || u >= d)) return \"up\";\n if (d != null && d > 0) return \"down\";\n return null;\n }\n const withSignal = log.filter((r) => signalSide(r) != null);\n const signalHits = withSignal.filter(\n (r) =>\n (signalSide(r) === \"up\" && r.result === 1) ||\n (signalSide(r) === \"down\" && r.result === 0),\n ).length;\n const noSignal = log.filter((r) => signalSide(r) == null);\n const noSignalHits = noSignal.filter((r) => r.modelCorrect).length;\n\n const timeLeft = latest ? Math.max(0, (latest.closeMs - now) / 1000) : null;\n const mm = timeLeft != null ? Math.floor(timeLeft / 60) : null;\n const ss = timeLeft != null ? Math.floor(timeLeft % 60) : null;\n\n const pts = ticks.slice(-200);\n let svgChart = \"\";\n if (pts.length > 1) {\n const ps = pts.map((p) => p.p);\n let lo = Math.min(...ps), hi = Math.max(...ps);\n if (latest) {\n lo = Math.min(lo, latest.strike);\n hi = Math.max(hi, latest.strike);\n }\n const pad = (hi - lo) * 0.15 || 50;\n lo -= pad;\n hi += pad;\n const W = 600, H = 160;\n const span = hi - lo || 1;\n const X = (i) => (i / (pts.length - 1)) * W;\n const Y = (v) => H - ((v - lo) / span) * H;\n const d = pts.map((p, i) =>\n (i ? \"L\" : \"M\") + X(i).toFixed(1) + \" \" + Y(p.p).toFixed(1)\n ).join(\" \");\n const strikeLine = latest\n ? ``\n : \"\";\n svgChart =\n ``;\n } else {\n svgChart =\n `

collecting ticks…

`;\n }\n\n const stripHtml = log\n .slice(-40)\n .map(\n (r) =>\n `

`,\n )\n .join(\"\");\n\n function fmtLatency(ms) {\n if (ms == null) return \"\";\n const s = Math.round(ms / 1000);\n return s < 60 ? `+${s}s` : `+${Math.floor(s / 60)}m${s % 60}s`;\n }\n\n const timestampedLog = log.filter((r) => r.lockedAt != null);\n\n const recentLocksHtml = timestampedLog\n .slice(-12)\n .reverse()\n .map((r) => {\n const displayMs = r.lockedAt;\n const t = new Date(displayMs);\n const timeStr =\n t.toLocaleTimeString(\"en-US\", {\n hour: \"numeric\",\n minute: \"2-digit\",\n timeZone: \"UTC\",\n }) + \" UTC\";\n const called = r.modelUp >= 0.5 ? \"UP\" : \"DOWN\";\n const calledPct = r.modelUp >= 0.5 ? r.modelUp : 1 - r.modelUp;\n const latency = fmtLatency(r.lockLatencyMs);\n return `

${timeStr}

locked $${\n r.strike.toLocaleString(\"en-US\", { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })\n }${\n latency ? ` ${latency}` : \"\"\n }

${called} ${(calledPct * 100).toFixed(0)}%

${r.modelCorrect ? \"✅\" : \"❌\"}

${timeStr}

NOW locked $${\n latest.strike.toLocaleString(\"en-US\", { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })\n }${\n latency ? ` ${latency}` : \"\"\n }

${called} ${(calledPct * 100).toFixed(0)}%

⏳

BTC · Kalshi 15-min

${\n stale\n ? \"grader stale — check the cron val is running\"\n : \"grading in background\"\n }

\n\n ${\n earnedSignal\n ? `

Earned signal — active✓

`\n : \"\"\n }\n\n

${fmtUsd(latest ? latest.price : null)}

${latest ? \"price as of just now\" : \"\"}

${svgChart}

\n\n

Window closes in\n ${mm != null ? mm + \":\" + String(ss).padStart(2, \"0\") : \"—\"}

\n\n

\n Model guess · driftless lognormal barrier\n

\n ⏳ Waiting for next lock — the window just closed, grading and re-locking now.\n

\n ${\n verdict\n ? `

\n ${verdict === \"UP\" ? \"▲\" : \"▼\"}\n

LEAN ${verdict}

${\n fmtPct(verdictP)\n } to finish ${verdict.toLowerCase()} — updates live

Model P(Up)

${\n fmtPct(latest.modelUp)\n }

Market P(Up)

${\n latest.marketUp != null ? fmtPct(latest.marketUp) : \"—\"\n }

0 ? \" up\" : \"\"\n }\">\n

Buy Up EV

${\n latest.upEV != null ? cents(latest.upEV) : \"—\"\n }

0 ? \" up\" : \"\"\n }\">\n

Buy Down EV

${\n latest.downEV != null ? cents(latest.downEV) : \"—\"\n }

`\n : `

Waiting on the first cron tick.

`\n }\n

\n\n

Track record🏆

\n ${\n n === 0\n ? `

No graded windows yet — this fills in automatically as the cron runs, whether or not you're looking at this page.

`\n : `

Model accuracy

${\n fmtPct(\n modelHits / n,\n )\n } (${modelHits}/${n})

Market accuracy

${\n withMkt.length ? fmtPct(mktHits / withMkt.length) : \"—\"\n } (${mktHits}/${withMkt.length})

Model Brier

${\n modelBrier != null ? modelBrier.toFixed(3) : \"—\"\n }

Market Brier

${\n mktBrier != null ? mktBrier.toFixed(3) : \"—\"\n }

${stripHtml}

Lower Brier wins; 0.25 is a coin flip. If the model's Brier isn't clearly under the market's after a few dozen windows, there's no edge here — the expected outcome, not a failure.

`\n }\n

\n\n

Where it locked each round

\n ${\n !currentLockHtml && timestampedLog.length === 0\n ? `

Nothing locked yet.

`\n : `

${currentLockHtml}${recentLocksHtml}

Times are the actual moment each round locked — the window opens on the quarter-hour, and the small +Ns/+Nm tag shows how long after that this tracker actually locked its call. The blue row is the round still running, marked ⏳ until it's graded.${\n timestampedLog.length < 12\n ? ` This list is still filling in after a recent update — it'll reach 12 rounds within a few hours.`\n : \"\"\n }

`\n }\n

\n\n

Does the EV signal mean anything?

\n ${\n withSignal.length === 0\n ? `

No graded windows yet had a positive-EV side at lock time — nothing to test.

`\n : `

When EV said \"buy\" (n=${withSignal.length})

${\n fmtPct(signalHits / withSignal.length)\n } (${signalHits}/${withSignal.length})

When it didn't (n=${noSignal.length})

${\n noSignal.length ? fmtPct(noSignalHits / noSignal.length) : \"—\"\n } (${noSignalHits}/${noSignal.length})

`\n }\n

\n\n

Self-tuning

Confidence calibration

\n ${\n latest && latest.calibActive\n ? `${latest.calibK.toFixed(2)}× active`\n : `${latest ? latest.calibN : 0}/150`\n }\n

Momentum weight

\n ${\n latest && latest.momActive\n ? `${latest.momW.toFixed(2)} active`\n : `${latest ? latest.momN : 0}/400`\n }\n

\n\n

${inner}

connecting…

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Diff · v18