[{"_1":2,"_3":-5,"_4":-5},"loaderData",{"_5":6,"_7":8,"_9":10},"actionData","errors","root",{"_153":154,"_155":156},"routes/_app.x.$handle.$name",{"_11":12,"_13":14,"_15":16,"_18":19,"_17":-7,"_116":-5,"_20":117,"_22":118,"_119":120,"_121":122,"_25":123,"_24":-5,"_124":-5,"_125":-5,"_126":53,"_127":128,"_129":44,"_130":-5,"_131":-5,"_132":133},"routes/_app.x.$handle.$name.branch.$branch.code.$",{"_11":12,"_13":14,"_15":16,"_17":-7,"_18":19,"_20":21,"_22":23,"_24":-7,"_25":26,"_27":-5,"_28":-5,"_29":-5,"_30":-5,"_31":-5},"handle","felixakwuba","name","harry2x","branchName","main","version","path","","project",{"_33":61,"_13":14,"_45":62,"_63":-5,"_64":53,"_65":66,"_67":66,"_68":19,"_69":-5,"_70":71,"_72":-5,"_73":53,"_74":-5,"_75":-5,"_76":77,"_78":79,"_80":-5,"_81":-5,"_82":-5,"_83":-5,"_84":85,"_86":85,"_87":88,"_89":88,"_90":88,"_91":85,"_92":85,"_93":94,"_95":96,"_97":98,"_99":53},"tree",[56],"file","contents",[32],"upstream","pull","ahead","behind","envVars",{"_33":34,"_13":35,"_36":37,"_38":-5,"_39":40,"_41":42,"_43":44,"_45":46,"_17":47,"_48":49,"_50":51,"_52":53,"_54":-5,"_18":55},"id","07464cfc-92f5-4a72-8570-00ac2106743f","main.ts","fileId","a802973c-6b4b-11f1-93ad-1607ee4eb77e","parentId","branchId","e4571c1b-f43f-452b-b7ac-c36b628e98c9","branchVersion",6,"latest",true,"createdAt",["D",1781814362144],5,"fileType","http","content","export default async function (req: Request) {\n const url = new URL(req.url);\n const view = url.searchParams.get(\"view\") || \"live\";\n const now = Date.now();\n const nowSec = Math.floor(now / 1000);\n const WHALE_CAP = 500;\n const HISTORY_CANDLES = 20;\n const currentWindowTs = Math.floor(nowSec / 900) * 900;\n\n // ── Step 1: BTC price data ──────────────────────────────────────────\n type BTCSignal = {\n openPrice: number;\n currentPrice: number;\n pctChange: number;\n momentum: number;\n direction: \"UP\" | \"DOWN\" | \"FLAT\";\n strength: number;\n candleAgeSeconds: number;\n // Extended for next-candle analysis\n candles15m: number[][]; // last 8 completed 15m candles [time,low,high,open,close,vol]\n change24h: number; // % change over last 24h\n change1h: number; // % change over last 1h\n volumeTrend: \"HIGH\" | \"NORMAL\" | \"LOW\"; // relative to recent average\n nearKeyLevel: string | null; // e.g. \"near $65k resistance\"\n };\n\n let btcSignal: BTCSignal | null = null;\n\n try {\n const cacheBust = Math.floor(nowSec / 20);\n const [tickerRes, candle15mRes, candle1mRes, candle1hRes] = await Promise\n .all([\n fetch(\n `https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/ticker?cb=${cacheBust}`,\n ),\n fetch(\n `https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?granularity=900&limit=12&cb=${cacheBust}`,\n ),\n fetch(\n `https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?granularity=60&limit=5&cb=${cacheBust}`,\n ),\n fetch(\n `https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?granularity=3600&limit=25&cb=${cacheBust}`,\n ),\n ]);\n\n const ticker = await tickerRes.json();\n const candles15m: number[][] = await candle15mRes.json();\n const candles1m: number[][] = await candle1mRes.json();\n const candles1h: number[][] = await candle1hRes.json();\n\n const currentPrice = parseFloat(ticker.price);\n const candleAgeSeconds = nowSec - currentWindowTs;\n\n // Find this candle's open — candle whose start = currentWindowTs\n // Coinbase candle[0] = close time, so start = close - 900\n const currentCandle = candles15m.find((c) =>\n Math.abs(c[0] - (currentWindowTs + 900)) < 120\n ) ||\n candles15m[0];\n const openPrice = currentCandle[3];\n const pctChange = ((currentPrice - openPrice) / openPrice) * 100;\n\n // 1-min momentum\n const recentMins = candles1m.slice(0, 4);\n const minChanges = recentMins.map((c) => ((c[4] - c[3]) / c[3]) * 100);\n const momentum = minChanges.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / minChanges.length;\n\n // 1h change\n const oldestHourCandle = candles1h[candles1h.length - 1];\n const change1h = oldestHourCandle\n ? ((currentPrice - oldestHourCandle[3]) / oldestHourCandle[3]) * 100\n : 0;\n\n // 24h change (24 hourly candles back)\n const candle24hAgo = candles1h[Math.min(23, candles1h.length - 1)];\n const change24h = candle24hAgo\n ? ((currentPrice - candle24hAgo[3]) / candle24hAgo[3]) * 100\n : 0;\n\n // Volume trend: compare current 15m candle volume to recent average\n const recentVols = candles15m.slice(1, 7).map((c) => c[5]);\n const avgVol = recentVols.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / recentVols.length;\n const currentVol = currentCandle[5];\n const volumeTrend = currentVol > avgVol * 1.4\n ? \"HIGH\"\n : currentVol < avgVol * 0.6\n ? \"LOW\"\n : \"NORMAL\";\n\n // Key psychological levels (round numbers BTC traders watch)\n const keyLevels = [\n 50000,\n 55000,\n 58000,\n 60000,\n 62000,\n 63000,\n 64000,\n 65000,\n 66000,\n 68000,\n 70000,\n 72000,\n 75000,\n 80000,\n 85000,\n 90000,\n 95000,\n 100000,\n 105000,\n 110000,\n ];\n const nearThreshold = 300; // within $300 of a key level\n const nearLevel = keyLevels.find((l) =>\n Math.abs(currentPrice - l) < nearThreshold\n );\n const nearKeyLevel = nearLevel\n ? `${currentPrice > nearLevel ? \"just above\" : \"just below\"} $${\n (nearLevel / 1000).toFixed(0)\n }k`\n : null;\n\n const priceDir = pctChange > 0.05\n ? \"UP\"\n : pctChange < -0.05\n ? \"DOWN\"\n : \"FLAT\";\n const momDir = momentum > 0.01 ? \"UP\" : momentum < -0.01 ? \"DOWN\" : \"FLAT\";\n const pctMag = Math.min(Math.abs(pctChange) * 20, 60);\n const momMag = Math.min(Math.abs(momentum) * 30, 30);\n const agreement = priceDir !== \"FLAT\" && priceDir === momDir ? 10 : 0;\n\n btcSignal = {\n openPrice,\n currentPrice,\n pctChange,\n momentum,\n direction: (priceDir !== \"FLAT\"\n ? priceDir\n : momDir !== \"FLAT\"\n ? momDir\n : \"FLAT\") as any,\n strength: Math.round(pctMag + momMag + agreement),\n candleAgeSeconds,\n candles15m: candles15m.slice(0, 8),\n change24h,\n change1h,\n volumeTrend,\n nearKeyLevel,\n };\n } catch {}\n\n // ── Step 2: Markets ─────────────────────────────────────────────────\n const slugsToTry = [\n `btc-updown-15m-${currentWindowTs - 1800}`,\n `btc-updown-15m-${currentWindowTs - 900}`,\n `btc-updown-15m-${currentWindowTs}`,\n `btc-updown-15m-${currentWindowTs + 900}`,\n ];\n\n const marketMap = new Map();\n await Promise.all(slugsToTry.map(async (slug) => {\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\n `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?slug=${slug}`,\n );\n const d = await r.json();\n const events: any[] = Array.isArray(d) ? d : [d];\n for (const event of events) {\n if (!event?.markets) continue;\n for (const m of event.markets) {\n const id = m.conditionId || m.id;\n if (id && !marketMap.has(id)) {\n marketMap.set(id, { ...m, eventSlug: slug });\n }\n }\n }\n } catch {}\n }));\n\n const liveMarkets: any[] = [];\n const nextMarkets: any[] = [];\n for (const m of marketMap.values()) {\n const end = m.endDate ? new Date(m.endDate).getTime() : null;\n if (!end || end < now) continue;\n const minsLeft = (end - now) / 60000;\n if (minsLeft > 35) continue;\n if (minsLeft <= 17) liveMarkets.push(m);\n else nextMarkets.push(m);\n }\n\n const targetMarkets = view === \"live\" ? liveMarkets : nextMarkets;\n\n // ── Step 3: Order book imbalance for NEXT candle ────────────────────\n // Heavy bid side = buyers lined up = bullish lean for next candle\n type OrderBook = {\n bidVolume: number;\n askVolume: number;\n imbalancePct: number; // positive = more bids = bullish\n topBid: number;\n topAsk: number;\n };\n\n let nextOrderBook: OrderBook | null = null;\n\n if (view === \"next\" && nextMarkets.length > 0) {\n const nextM = nextMarkets[0];\n let tokenIds: string[] = [];\n try {\n tokenIds = JSON.parse(nextM.clobTokenIds || \"[]\");\n } catch {}\n\n if (tokenIds.length >= 1) {\n // Token 0 = Up outcome\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\n `https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=${tokenIds[0]}`,\n );\n const book = await r.json();\n const bids: any[] = book.bids || [];\n const asks: any[] = book.asks || [];\n\n // Sum top 10 levels each side\n const bidVol = bids.slice(0, 10).reduce(\n (s: number, b: any) => s + parseFloat(b.size || \"0\"),\n 0,\n );\n const askVol = asks.slice(0, 10).reduce(\n (s: number, a: any) => s + parseFloat(a.size || \"0\"),\n 0,\n );\n const total = bidVol + askVol || 1;\n const imbalancePct = Math.round(((bidVol - askVol) / total) * 100);\n const topBid = bids.length > 0 ? parseFloat(bids[0].price) : 0;\n const topAsk = asks.length > 0 ? parseFloat(asks[0].price) : 0;\n\n nextOrderBook = {\n bidVolume: Math.round(bidVol),\n askVolume: Math.round(askVol),\n imbalancePct,\n topBid,\n topAsk,\n };\n } catch {}\n }\n }\n\n // ── Step 4: Trades + positions ──────────────────────────────────────\n type WalletPos = {\n wallet: string;\n outcome: string;\n netShares: number;\n totalBought: number;\n totalSpent: number;\n tradeCount: number;\n pseudonym: string;\n recencyWeight: number;\n };\n\n async function fetchTradesForMarket(conditionId: string, maxTrades = 2000) {\n const trades: any[] = [];\n let offset = 0;\n const limit = 500;\n while (offset < maxTrades) {\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\n `https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=${conditionId}&limit=${limit}&offset=${offset}`,\n );\n const page: any[] = await r.json();\n if (!Array.isArray(page) || page.length === 0) break;\n trades.push(...page);\n if (page.length < limit) break;\n offset += limit;\n } catch {\n break;\n }\n }\n return trades;\n }\n\n function buildPositions(\n trades: any[],\n candleStartTs: number,\n ): Map {\n const holderMap = new Map();\n for (const t of trades) {\n const wallet = t.proxyWallet;\n const outcome = t.outcome;\n const side = (t.side || \"\").toUpperCase();\n const size = parseFloat(t.size || \"0\");\n const price = parseFloat(t.price || \"0\");\n const pseudonym = t.pseudonym || t.name || wallet?.slice(0, 8) || \"?\";\n const tradeTs = t.timestamp || 0;\n if (!wallet || !outcome || !size) continue;\n\n const ageInCandle = candleStartTs > 0 ? tradeTs - candleStartTs : 450;\n let rw = 1.0;\n if (ageInCandle < 60) rw = 0.2;\n else if (ageInCandle < 240) rw = 0.5;\n else if (ageInCandle < 750) rw = 1.5;\n else rw = 0.25;\n\n const key = `${wallet}||${outcome}`;\n if (!holderMap.has(key)) {\n holderMap.set(key, {\n wallet,\n outcome,\n pseudonym,\n netShares: 0,\n totalBought: 0,\n totalSpent: 0,\n tradeCount: 0,\n recencyWeight: rw,\n });\n }\n const pos = holderMap.get(key)!;\n pos.tradeCount++;\n pos.recencyWeight = Math.max(pos.recencyWeight, rw);\n if (side === \"BUY\") {\n pos.netShares += size;\n pos.totalBought += size;\n pos.totalSpent += size * price;\n } else if (side === \"SELL\") {\n pos.netShares -= size;\n }\n }\n return holderMap;\n }\n\n const liveTradesByMarket = await Promise.all(\n targetMarkets.map(async (m) => {\n const slugTs = parseInt(\n (m.eventSlug || m.slug || \"\").split(\"btc-updown-15m-\")[1] || \"0\",\n );\n const candleStart = slugTs > 0 ? slugTs : currentWindowTs;\n return {\n market: m,\n candleStart,\n trades: await fetchTradesForMarket(m.conditionId),\n };\n }),\n );\n\n const holderMap = new Map();\n for (const { candleStart, trades } of liveTradesByMarket) {\n const positions = buildPositions(trades, candleStart);\n for (const [key, pos] of positions.entries()) {\n if (!holderMap.has(key)) holderMap.set(key, { ...pos });\n else {\n const e = holderMap.get(key)!;\n e.netShares += pos.netShares;\n e.totalBought += pos.totalBought;\n e.totalSpent += pos.totalSpent;\n e.tradeCount += pos.tradeCount;\n e.recencyWeight = Math.max(e.recencyWeight, pos.recencyWeight);\n }\n }\n }\n\n // Net out hedgers\n const byWallet = new Map();\n for (const pos of holderMap.values()) {\n if (!byWallet.has(pos.wallet)) byWallet.set(pos.wallet, []);\n byWallet.get(pos.wallet)!.push(pos);\n }\n\n const allHolders: WalletPos[] = [];\n for (const positions of byWallet.values()) {\n if (positions.length === 1) {\n if (positions[0].netShares >= 1) allHolders.push(positions[0]);\n continue;\n }\n const up = positions.find((p) => p.outcome === \"Up\");\n const down = positions.find((p) => p.outcome === \"Down\");\n const netDiff = (up?.netShares || 0) - (down?.netShares || 0);\n if (Math.abs(netDiff) < 1) continue;\n const dominant = netDiff > 0 ? up! : down!;\n allHolders.push({ ...dominant, netShares: Math.abs(netDiff) });\n }\n\n const totalHolders = allHolders.length;\n\n // ── Step 5: Historical scorecard ────────────────────────────────────\n type ScoreEntry = { wins: number; total: number; winRate: number };\n const scorecard = new Map();\n\n const pastSlugs: string[] = [];\n for (let k = 1; k <= HISTORY_CANDLES; k++) {\n pastSlugs.push(`btc-updown-15m-${currentWindowTs - 900 * k}`);\n }\n\n const pastMarkets = await Promise.all(\n pastSlugs.map(async (slug) => {\n try {\n const r = await fetch(\n `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?slug=${slug}`,\n );\n const d = await r.json();\n const events: any[] = Array.isArray(d) ? d : [d];\n for (const e of events) {\n if (e?.markets?.length) return { ...e.markets[0], eventSlug: slug };\n }\n } catch {}\n return null;\n }),\n );\n\n await Promise.all(\n pastMarkets.filter(Boolean).map(async (m: any) => {\n let winningOutcome: string | null = null;\n try {\n const outcomes: string[] = JSON.parse(m.outcomes || \"[]\");\n const prices: string[] = JSON.parse(m.outcomePrices || \"[]\");\n if (outcomes.length === 2 && prices.length === 2) {\n if (parseFloat(prices[0]) > 0.9) winningOutcome = outcomes[0];\n else if (parseFloat(prices[1]) > 0.9) winningOutcome = outcomes[1];\n }\n } catch {}\n if (!winningOutcome) return;\n const slugTs = parseInt(\n (m.eventSlug || \"\").split(\"btc-updown-15m-\")[1] || \"0\",\n );\n const trades = await fetchTradesForMarket(m.conditionId, 1000);\n const positions = buildPositions(trades, slugTs);\n for (const pos of positions.values()) {\n if (pos.netShares < 1) continue;\n const entry = scorecard.get(pos.wallet) ||\n { wins: 0, total: 0, winRate: 0.5 };\n entry.total++;\n if (pos.outcome === winningOutcome) entry.wins++;\n entry.winRate = (entry.wins + 5) / (entry.total + 10);\n scorecard.set(pos.wallet, entry);\n }\n }),\n );\n\n // ── Step 6: Signal weighting ─────────────────────────────────────────\n function signalWeight(h: WalletPos): number {\n const cappedShares = Math.min(h.netShares, WHALE_CAP);\n let weight = cappedShares * h.recencyWeight;\n const record = scorecard.get(h.wallet);\n if (record && record.total >= 5) {\n weight *= 0.75 + (record.winRate * 0.5);\n }\n return weight;\n }\n\n allHolders.sort((a, b) => signalWeight(b) - signalWeight(a));\n const topHolders = allHolders.slice(0, 100);\n\n let upWeight = 0, downWeight = 0, upCount = 0, downCount = 0;\n const upHolders: WalletPos[] = [];\n const downHolders: WalletPos[] = [];\n\n for (const h of topHolders) {\n const w = signalWeight(h);\n if (h.outcome === \"Up\") {\n upWeight += w;\n upCount++;\n upHolders.push(h);\n } else {\n downWeight += w;\n downCount++;\n downHolders.push(h);\n }\n }\n\n const totalFlowWeight = upWeight + downWeight || 1;\n const flowUpPct = Math.round((upWeight / totalFlowWeight) * 100);\n const flowDownPct = 100 - flowUpPct;\n const hasFlow = totalHolders >= 10;\n\n // ── Step 7: Combined signal ──────────────────────────────────────────\n // LIVE: 70% BTC price, 30% order flow\n // NEXT: price signal is weak predictor — use trend + orderbook + flow instead\n const hasBTC = btcSignal !== null && btcSignal.direction !== \"FLAT\";\n\n let combinedUpScore = 50;\n\n if (view === \"live\") {\n if (hasBTC && btcSignal) {\n const btcBias = btcSignal.direction === \"UP\"\n ? 50 + (btcSignal.strength / 2)\n : 50 - (btcSignal.strength / 2);\n combinedUpScore = btcBias * 0.70 +\n (hasFlow ? flowUpPct * 0.30 : btcBias * 0.30);\n } else if (hasFlow) {\n combinedUpScore = flowUpPct;\n }\n } else {\n // NEXT candle: trend (40%) + orderbook (30%) + flow (30%)\n let trendScore = 50;\n if (btcSignal && btcSignal.candles15m.length >= 4) {\n const completed = btcSignal.candles15m.slice(1, 5); // last 4 completed candles\n const upCandles = completed.filter((c) => c[4] > c[3]).length;\n const downCandles = completed.filter((c) => c[4] < c[3]).length;\n // Weight more recent candles heavier\n let trendSum = 0;\n completed.forEach((c, i) => {\n const weight = 4 - i; // 4,3,2,1\n const dir = c[4] > c[3] ? 1 : -1;\n const mag = Math.abs((c[4] - c[3]) / c[3]) * 100;\n trendSum += dir * Math.min(mag * 10, 20) * weight;\n });\n trendScore = Math.max(10, Math.min(90, 50 + trendSum));\n }\n\n let obScore = 50;\n if (nextOrderBook) {\n // Bid-heavy = UP lean, ask-heavy = DOWN lean\n obScore = Math.max(\n 20,\n Math.min(80, 50 + nextOrderBook.imbalancePct * 0.5),\n );\n }\n\n const flowScore = hasFlow ? flowUpPct : 50;\n const trendWeight = 0.40;\n const obWeight = nextOrderBook ? 0.30 : 0;\n const flowWeight = hasFlow\n ? (nextOrderBook ? 0.30 : 0.60)\n : (1 - trendWeight - obWeight);\n\n combinedUpScore = trendScore * trendWeight + obScore * obWeight +\n flowScore * flowWeight +\n 50 * (1 - trendWeight - obWeight - flowWeight); // remainder stays neutral\n }\n\n combinedUpScore = Math.round(Math.max(0, Math.min(100, combinedUpScore)));\n const combinedDownScore = 100 - combinedUpScore;\n const finalDirection = combinedUpScore >= 60\n ? \"UP\"\n : combinedDownScore >= 60\n ? \"DOWN\"\n : \"MIXED\";\n\n // ── Step 8: AI rationale ─────────────────────────────────────────────\n let aiRationale = \"\";\n const anthropicKey = Deno.env.get(\"ANTHROPIC_API_KEY\") || \"\";\n\n if (anthropicKey) {\n try {\n // Build a rich prompt with everything we know\n let prompt = \"\";\n\n if (view === \"live\") {\n const btcPart = btcSignal\n ? `BTC: ${btcSignal.pctChange > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${\n btcSignal.pctChange.toFixed(3)\n }% from open ($${btcSignal.openPrice.toFixed(0)}→$${\n btcSignal.currentPrice.toFixed(0)\n }), momentum ${btcSignal.momentum > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${\n btcSignal.momentum.toFixed(3)\n }%/min, ${Math.floor(btcSignal.candleAgeSeconds / 60)}m ${\n btcSignal.candleAgeSeconds % 60\n }s into candle, volume ${btcSignal.volumeTrend}${\n btcSignal.nearKeyLevel ? \", \" + btcSignal.nearKeyLevel : \"\"\n }.`\n : \"BTC price unavailable.\";\n const flowPart = hasFlow\n ? `Polymarket flow: ${flowUpPct}% UP (${upCount} holders) vs ${flowDownPct}% DOWN (${downCount} holders).`\n : `Polymarket flow: only ${totalHolders} holders.`;\n prompt =\n `You are a concise prediction market analyst for a LIVE Polymarket \"Bitcoin Up or Down\" 15-minute candle with ${\n Math.round(\n (targetMarkets[0]\n ? new Date(targetMarkets[0].endDate).getTime() - now\n : 0) / 60000,\n )\n }m remaining.\n\n${btcPart}\n${flowPart}\nCombined score: ${combinedUpScore}% UP.\n\nGive ONE sentence (max 20 words). Start with UP or DOWN. State the single strongest reason.`;\n } else {\n // NEXT candle — give AI much richer context\n const trendDesc = btcSignal && btcSignal.candles15m.length >= 4\n ? btcSignal.candles15m.slice(1, 5).map((c, i) => {\n const dir = c[4] > c[3] ? \"▲\" : \"▼\";\n const pct = (((c[4] - c[3]) / c[3]) * 100).toFixed(2);\n return `${dir}${pct}%`;\n }).reverse().join(\" → \")\n : \"unavailable\";\n\n const btcContext = btcSignal\n ? `Current BTC: $${btcSignal.currentPrice.toFixed(0)}. 1h change: ${\n btcSignal.change1h > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"\n }${btcSignal.change1h.toFixed(2)}%. 24h change: ${\n btcSignal.change24h > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"\n }${\n btcSignal.change24h.toFixed(2)\n }%. Volume: ${btcSignal.volumeTrend}.${\n btcSignal.nearKeyLevel\n ? \" Price \" + btcSignal.nearKeyLevel + \".\"\n : \"\"\n }`\n : \"BTC price unavailable.\";\n\n const trendContext =\n `Last 4 completed 15m candles (oldest→newest): ${trendDesc}.`;\n\n const obContext = nextOrderBook\n ? `Next candle orderbook: ${nextOrderBook.bidVolume.toLocaleString()} bid vs ${nextOrderBook.askVolume.toLocaleString()} ask shares (${\n nextOrderBook.imbalancePct > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"\n }${nextOrderBook.imbalancePct}% bid imbalance = ${\n nextOrderBook.imbalancePct > 10\n ? \"bullish\"\n : nextOrderBook.imbalancePct < -10\n ? \"bearish\"\n : \"neutral\"\n } positioning).`\n : \"Orderbook unavailable.\";\n\n const flowContext = hasFlow\n ? `Early next-candle positioning: ${flowUpPct}% UP (${upCount} holders) vs ${flowDownPct}% DOWN (${downCount} holders).`\n : `Next candle positioning: only ${totalHolders} traders so far.`;\n\n prompt =\n `You are a sharp crypto prediction market analyst. Analyze the NEXT 15-minute BTC candle on Polymarket using all available signals.\n\nPRICE & MOMENTUM:\n${btcContext}\n${trendContext}\n\nMARKET MICROSTRUCTURE:\n${obContext}\n${flowContext}\nCombined quantitative score: ${combinedUpScore}% UP.\n\nMACRO CONTEXT (use your training knowledge as of mid-2026):\n- Consider: current crypto market cycle stage, BTC ETF flows, Fed policy stance, any relevant political/regulatory developments\n- Consider: whether BTC is in a trending or ranging regime recently\n- Consider: time of day (UTC ${new Date(now).getUTCHours()}:${\n String(new Date(now).getUTCMinutes()).padStart(2, \"0\")\n }) and typical liquidity patterns\n\nGive a directional call in 2-3 sentences max. Start with UP, DOWN, or NEUTRAL. State the most important signal driving your call, then one macro/contextual factor. Be direct and specific — no hedging language.`;\n }\n\n const aiRes = await fetch(\"https://api.anthropic.com/v1/messages\", {\n method: \"POST\",\n headers: {\n \"Content-Type\": \"application/json\",\n \"x-api-key\": anthropicKey,\n \"anthropic-version\": \"2023-06-01\",\n },\n body: JSON.stringify({\n model: \"claude-haiku-4-5-20251001\",\n max_tokens: view === \"next\" ? 150 : 80,\n messages: [{ role: \"user\", content: prompt }],\n }),\n });\n const aiData = await aiRes.json();\n aiRationale = aiData?.content?.[0]?.text?.trim() || \"\";\n } catch {}\n }\n\n // ── Step 9: UI ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n const signalColor = finalDirection === \"UP\"\n ? \"#00c97a\"\n : finalDirection === \"DOWN\"\n ? \"#ff5555\"\n : \"#ffd700\";\n const signalLabel = finalDirection === \"UP\"\n ? \"▲ UP\"\n : finalDirection === \"DOWN\"\n ? \"▼ DOWN\"\n : \"MIXED\";\n\n const minsLeft = targetMarkets[0]\n ? Math.round((new Date(targetMarkets[0].endDate).getTime() - now) / 60000)\n : 0;\n const urgColor = minsLeft < 5\n ? \"#ff2200\"\n : minsLeft < 10\n ? \"#ff9500\"\n : \"#888\";\n const lastUpdated = new Date(now).toLocaleTimeString(\"en-US\", {\n hour12: false,\n });\n\n upHolders.sort((a, b) => signalWeight(b) - signalWeight(a));\n downHolders.sort((a, b) => signalWeight(b) - signalWeight(a));\n\n // BTC block — different for live vs next\n const btcBlock = view === \"live\"\n ? (btcSignal\n ? `\n

₿ BTC Price Signal (primary · 70%)

\n ${\n btcSignal.direction === \"UP\"\n ? \"▲\"\n : btcSignal.direction === \"DOWN\"\n ? \"▼\"\n : \"—\"\n } ${btcSignal.direction}\n ${\n btcSignal.pctChange > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"\n }${btcSignal.pctChange.toFixed(3)}% from open\n

$${\n btcSignal.openPrice.toFixed(0)\n } → $${btcSignal.currentPrice.toFixed(0)}

mom ${\n btcSignal.momentum > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"\n }${\n btcSignal.momentum.toFixed(3)\n }%/min · vol ${btcSignal.volumeTrend}

\n ${\n btcSignal.nearKeyLevel\n ? `

⚡ ${btcSignal.nearKeyLevel}

`\n : \"\"\n }\n

strength ${btcSignal.strength}/100 · ${\n Math.floor(btcSignal.candleAgeSeconds / 60)\n }m ${btcSignal.candleAgeSeconds % 60}s into candle

`\n : `

₿ BTC price unavailable — add api.exchange.coinbase.com to val.town network settings

`)\n : (btcSignal\n ? `\n

₿ BTC Trend (40% weight for next candle)

\n ${\n btcSignal.candles15m.slice(1, 5).reverse().map((c, i) => {\n const isUp = c[4] > c[3];\n const pct = (((c[4] - c[3]) / c[3]) * 100).toFixed(2);\n return `${\n isUp ? \"▲\" : \"▼\"\n } ${pct}%`;\n }).join(\"\")\n }\n

$${\n btcSignal.currentPrice.toFixed(0)\n } · 1h ${btcSignal.change1h > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${\n btcSignal.change1h.toFixed(2)\n }% · 24h ${btcSignal.change24h > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${\n btcSignal.change24h.toFixed(2)\n }% · vol ${btcSignal.volumeTrend}

\n ${\n btcSignal.nearKeyLevel\n ? `

⚡ ${btcSignal.nearKeyLevel}

`\n : \"\"\n }\n

`\n : \"\");\n\n // Orderbook block for NEXT\n const obBlock = view === \"next\" && nextOrderBook\n ? `\n

📖 Next Candle Orderbook (30% weight)

\n Bids ${nextOrderBook.bidVolume.toLocaleString()} sh @ ${nextOrderBook.topBid}\n Asks ${nextOrderBook.askVolume.toLocaleString()} sh @ ${nextOrderBook.topAsk}\n

10\n ? \"#00c97a\"\n : nextOrderBook.imbalancePct < -10\n ? \"#ff5555\"\n : \"#555\"\n };margin-top:4px\">\n ${\n nextOrderBook.imbalancePct > 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"\n }${nextOrderBook.imbalancePct}% bid imbalance → ${\n nextOrderBook.imbalancePct > 10\n ? \"bullish pressure\"\n : nextOrderBook.imbalancePct < -10\n ? \"bearish pressure\"\n : \"neutral\"\n }\n

`\n : \"\";\n\n const flowBlock = `\n

📊 Order Flow (${\n view === \"next\" ? \"30%\" : \"30%\"\n }${!hasFlow ? \" · too early\" : \"\"})

\n ${\n !hasFlow\n ? `

Only ${totalHolders} holders — not enough data yet

`\n : `

\n ▲ UP ${flowUpPct}% · ${upCount} holders\n ▼ DOWN ${flowDownPct}% · ${downCount} holders\n

`\n }\n

`;\n\n const combinedBlock = `\n

${\n view === \"next\" ? \"Next Candle Prediction\" : \"Live Signal\"\n }

${signalLabel}

⏱ ${minsLeft}m left

\n ${\n aiRationale\n ? `\n

🤖 AI Analysis

${aiRationale}

`\n : anthropicKey\n ? `

Generating analysis...

`\n : `

Add ANTHROPIC_API_KEY in val.town Settings → Secrets for AI analysis

`\n }\n

\n ▲ ${combinedUpScore}%▼ ${combinedDownScore}%\n

`;\n\n const holderRow = (h: WalletPos, rank: number) => {\n const isUp = h.outcome === \"Up\";\n const color = isUp ? \"#00c97a\" : \"#ff5555\";\n const shares = Math.round(h.netShares);\n const cappedFlag = h.netShares > WHALE_CAP\n ? ` cap`\n : \"\";\n const dollarIn = Math.round(h.totalSpent);\n const record = scorecard.get(h.wallet);\n const recordStr = record && record.total >= 5\n ? `${record.wins}/${record.total} `\n : \"\";\n const rwLabel = h.recencyWeight >= 1.5\n ? `mid✓`\n : `e/l`;\n return `\n

\n #${rank}\n ${\n isUp ? \"▲\" : \"▼\"\n }\n ${h.pseudonym}\n ${recordStr}${rwLabel}\n ${shares}sh${cappedFlag}\n $${dollarIn}\n

`;\n };\n\n const tabLive =\n `⚡ Live`;\n const tabNext =\n `🔮 Next`;\n\n const topUp = upHolders.slice(0, 6);\n const topDown = downHolders.slice(0, 6);\n\n const html = `\n\n\n \n \n \n \n BTC 15m Signal\n\n\n

Polymarket · BTC 15m · ${lastUpdated}

Smart Money Signal

${totalHolders} holders · ${scorecard.size} scored · ${HISTORY_CANDLES} candle history

${tabLive}${tabNext}

\n ${combinedBlock}\n ${btcBlock}\n ${obBlock}\n ${flowBlock}\n

▲ Top UP Holders

\n ${\n topUp.length\n ? topUp.map((h, i) => holderRow(h, i + 1)).join(\"\")\n : '

None yet

'\n }\n

▼ Top DOWN Holders

\n ${\n topDown.length\n ? topDown.map((h, i) => holderRow(h, i + 1)).join(\"\")\n : '

None yet

'\n }\n

\n coinbase · polymarket · claude · not financial advice · auto-refresh 20s\n

\n\n`;\n\n return new Response(html, {\n headers: {\n \"Content-Type\": \"text/html\",\n \"Cache-Control\": \"no-store, no-cache, must-revalidate, max-age=0\",\n \"Pragma\": \"no-cache\",\n },\n });\n}","deleted",false,"label",[35],{"_33":34,"_13":35,"_36":37,"_38":-5,"_39":40,"_41":42,"_43":44,"_45":57,"_17":47,"_48":49,"_50":51,"_52":53,"_54":-5,"_58":59,"_18":60},["D",1781814362144],"children",[],[35],"3a9668fa-3279-460e-a338-b7731318f34e",["D",1781810810992],"deletedAt","legacyEnvVars","privacy","public","httpPrivacy","description","imageUrl","userId","0fa04e50-dfa6-4a09-a44d-8861e0dbe2ad","pinnedFileId","pinPreview","pinMigrated","screenshotVersion","likeCount",0,"orgId","019ecf93-bb20-7712-b630-d713f53be1be","tursoName","tursoHostname","tursoMeasuredAt","pinned","userPerm","r","valPerm","blobPerm","rw","emailPerm","sqlitePerm","projectPerm","telemetryPerm","user",{"_11":12,"_115":111},"org",{"_11":12,"_108":109,"_110":111,"_70":71,"_112":113,"_114":53},"branch",{"_17":42,"_13":16,"_33":40,"_100":61,"_101":-5,"_102":-5,"_103":-5,"_104":-5,"_105":-5,"_106":14,"_107":12},"isOwned","projectId","forkedBranchId","forkedBranchVersion","forkedProjectPrivacy","forkedProjectId","forkedProjectOrgId","projectName","userHandle","displayName","Felix Akwuba","avatar","https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIWwwzGL5nfVcMDxEdg_MwLxij5piGrYZQNTVccRdAgbKUIaQ=s96-c","tier","free","canRestrictVals","profileImageUrl","adoptOrgId",{"_33":61,"_13":14,"_45":149,"_63":-5,"_64":53,"_65":66,"_67":66,"_68":19,"_69":-5,"_70":71,"_72":-5,"_73":53,"_74":-5,"_75":-5,"_76":77,"_78":79,"_80":-5,"_81":-5,"_82":-5,"_83":-5,"_84":85,"_86":85,"_87":88,"_89":88,"_90":88,"_91":85,"_92":85,"_93":150,"_95":151,"_97":152,"_99":53},[146],"files",[146],"counts",{"_136":77,"_137":138,"_139":77,"_31":140,"_141":142},[134],"upstreamProject","upstreamBranch","emptyEnvVars","flags",[],"hasHttpFiles","grants","orgs","customDomains",{},{"_33":34,"_13":35,"_36":37,"_38":-5,"_39":40,"_41":42,"_43":44,"_45":46,"_17":47,"_48":49,"_50":51,"_52":53,"_54":-5,"_18":135},[35],"pulls","branches",1,"forks",{"_143":138,"_145":77},"connections",{"_143":77,"_144":77},"count","unfilledCount","emptyCount",{"_33":34,"_13":35,"_36":37,"_38":-5,"_39":40,"_41":42,"_43":44,"_45":57,"_17":47,"_48":49,"_50":51,"_52":53,"_54":-5,"_58":147,"_18":148},[],[35],["D",1781810810992],{"_11":12,"_115":111},{"_11":12,"_108":109,"_110":111,"_70":71,"_112":113,"_114":53},{"_17":42,"_13":16,"_33":40,"_100":61,"_101":-5,"_102":-5,"_103":-5,"_104":-5,"_105":-5,"_106":14,"_107":12},"ctx",{"_93":-5,"_131":186,"_187":188,"_189":190,"_191":53,"_192":53,"_193":53,"_194":44,"_195":-5,"_196":-7,"_197":-7,"_198":77,"_199":53,"_200":53,"_201":-5,"_202":53,"_203":53,"_204":53,"_205":-5},"ENV",{"_157":158,"_159":160,"_161":16,"_162":163,"_164":165,"_166":167,"_168":169,"_170":171,"_172":173,"_174":175,"_176":177,"_178":179,"_180":181,"_182":183,"_184":185},"REACT_APP_SENTRY_DSN","https://586020d86f05489db63a554690acf1e9@o1398359.ingest.sentry.io/6724499","RENDER_GIT_COMMIT","e87eb04e707cf64e7e532c8e8ec395f209e17f15","RENDER_GIT_BRANCH","POSTHOG_API_TOKEN","phc_nmoyuAkStEZuUp69rYlg1DZgrIt19Gx0Y4Hwf8tGgJP","POSTHOG_API_HOST","https://wart.val.town","WEB_API_TEMPLATE","https://{val}.web.val.run","APP_URL","https://www.val.town","MODULE_URL","https://esm.town","VANITY_WEB_API_TEMPLATE","https://{label}.val.run/","DENOLS_URL","https://lsp.val.town","NODE_ENV","production","CLOUDFLARE_TURNSTILE_SITE_KEY","0x4AAAAAACtaIZJH7s9rBMZ6","GOOGLE_CLIENT_ID","875989696899-jtsqkhlbdv5jrlsk8631p7ipjg3c6o62.apps.googleusercontent.com","STRIPE_PUBLISHABLE_KEY","pk_live_51N2zvWEpZTTLipIkVEwXrUG9AT0yeOOEYxszarZT1jpsZV58Ly6wlg3SltZpHN26CUalOBmUSY7adQRQiSkCZz2500qSXNkf8Y","API_URL","https://api.val.town",[],"preferencesKeybindings","default","preferencesTheme","light","preferencesFixers","preferencesCopilot","preferencesSelectionAi","preferencesCloseBrackets","preferencesChatPanelState","preferencesDprint","preferencesDenofmt","notificationCount","flagDenols","isBusinessOrgMember","businessOrgHandle","isBusinessOrgAdmin","isHigherTownieTier","navCollapsed","currentOrgId"]

Code